High-probability bonds

Near-certain Polymarket outcomes ranked by annualized yield.

64
Markets
485.9%
Avg APY
7874.9%
Best APY
14
Expiring Today
|
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
99.5%1188.0%4h left
Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on March 17?
96.0%>9999%0h left
NYA (NYA) Up or Down on March 17?
98.0%>9999%0h left
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 17?
98.8%>9999%0h left
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
99.5%>9999%0h left
Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
98.0%7874.9%2h left
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 17?
100.0%5608.4%0h left
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffs
100.0%5608.4%0h left
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Group A
99.5%1890.8%2h left
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 19?
95.0%1046.0%44h left
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 18?
98.6%641.9%20h left
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Pandora Kris - Game 1 Winner
99.7%609.0%4h left
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 16 above $170?
95.9%526.2%72h left
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?
98.5%475.1%28h left
Dota 2: 1win vs Power Rangers (BO3) - CCT Playoffs
100.0%406.5%1h left
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Ursa (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
100.0%406.5%1h left
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on March 19?
98.0%405.6%44h left
Games Total: O/U 3.5
100.0%263.8%2h left
LoL: LYON vs LOUD (BO5) - First Stand Group B
100.0%263.8%2h left
LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 3 Winner
100.0%263.8%2h left
Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on March 20?
98.5%202.6%68h left
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner
100.0%188.2%2h left
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on March 20?
98.6%182.7%68h left
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 18?
99.7%153.2%20h left
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 24?
97.5%134.1%164h left
Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) close over 20,750 on Friday of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?
99.0%129.0%72h left
Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) close over 21,000 on Friday of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?
99.3%91.8%72h left
Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) close over 21,250 on Friday of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?
99.4%79.5%72h left
Will the price of Solana be above $40 on March 23?
99.0%66.4%140h left
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of March 16 above $2.00?
99.6%48.8%72h left
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 18?
99.9%43.7%20h left
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of March 16 above $50?
99.7%36.6%72h left
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
98.7%36.5%13d left
Will Pete Ricketts be the Republican nominee for Senate in Nebraska?
95.5%31.2%55d left
Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) close over 20,500 on Friday of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?
99.8%30.5%72h left
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 19?
99.9%29.9%44h left
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 18?
100.0%21.8%20h left
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 18?
100.0%21.8%20h left
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 18?
100.0%21.8%20h left
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 18?
100.0%21.8%20h left
Will Dortmund finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?
97.0%15.6%71d left
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $1.00 end of March?
99.6%11.8%14d left
Will the price of Solana be above $40 on March 19?
100.0%9.9%44h left
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
95.5%8.7%196d left
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?
99.4%8.2%29d left
Will the San Antonio Spurs make the NBA Playoffs?
99.6%5.6%26d left
Will Drake release an album in 2026?
96.9%4.1%
Will Hyperliquid reach $42 by December 31, 2026?
97.3%3.5%289d left
Murcia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Pol Martin Tiffon
100.0%3.3%134h left
Miami Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Billy Harris
100.0%3.2%138h left
Miami Open, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Colton Smith
100.0%3.2%138h left
Morelos: Alafia Ayeni vs Keegan Smith
100.0%3.1%140h left
Miami Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Luca Van Assche
100.0%2.7%162h left
Miami Open, Qualification: Kimberly Birrell vs Yue Yuan
100.0%2.7%162h left
Murcia: Felix Gill vs Filip Pieczonka
100.0%2.7%163h left
Miami Open, Qualification: Lulu Sun vs Donna Vekic
100.0%2.7%163h left
Miami Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Diane Parry
100.0%2.7%165h left
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays
100.0%2.7%165h left
Morelos: Miguel Tobon vs Juan Pablo Ficovich
100.0%2.6%166h left
Will Drake release a new song in 2026?
98.0%2.5%
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?
98.8%1.5%289d left
ChatGPT Outage by March 31?
100.0%1.4%13d left
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?
99.5%0.7%289d left
Katana FDV above $50M one day after launch?
99.1%0.5%654d left
64 of 64 markets